Towards the sustainable intensification of agriculture—a systems approach to policy formulation

The sustainable intensification of agriculture involves providing sufficient food and other ecosystem services without going beyond the limits of the earth’s system. Here a project management approach is suggested to help guide agricultural policy to deliver these objectives. The first step is to agree measurable outcomes, integrating formal policy goals with the often much less formal and much more diverse goals of individual farmers. The second step is to assess current performance. Ideally, this will involve the use of farm-scale metrics that can feed into process models that address social and environmental domains as well as production issues that can be benchmarked and upscaled to landscape and country. Some policy goals can be delivered by supporting ad hoc interventions, while others require the redesign of the farming system. A pipeline of research, knowledge and capacity building is needed to ensure the continuous increase in farm performance. System models can help prioritise policy interventions. Formal optimization of land use is only appropriate if the policy goals are clear, and the constraints understood. In practice, the best approach may depend on the scale of action that is required, and on the amount of resource and infrastructure available to generate, implement and manage policy.     

Agriculture Green Development: a model for China and the world

Realizing sustainable development has become a global priority. This holds, in particular, for agriculture. Recently, the United Nations launched the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and the Nineteenth National People’s Congress has delivered a national strategy for sustainable development in China—realizing green development. The overall objective of Agriculture Green Development (AGD) is to coordinate “green” with “development” to realize the transformation of current agriculture with high resource consumption and high environmental costs into a green agriculture and countryside with high productivity, high resource use efficiency and low environmental impact. This is a formidable task, requiring joint efforts of government, farmers, industry, educators and researchers. The innovative concept for AGD will focus on reconstructing the whole crop-animal production and food production-consumption system, with the emphasis on high thresholds for environmental standards and food quality as well as enhanced human well-being. This paper addresses the significance, challenges, framework, pathways and potential solutions for realizing AGD in China, and highlights the potential changes that will lead to a more sustainable agriculture in the future. Proposals include interdisciplinary innovations, whole food chain improvement and regional solutions. The implementation of AGD in China will provide important implications for the countries in developmental transition, and contribute to global sustainable development.     

Managing soil quality for humanity and the planet

Rather than a human-centric, the basic strategy of achieving Sustainable Development Goals must be focused on restoring and sustaining planetary processes. The urgency of meeting the demands of the humanity must be reconciled with the necessity of enhancing the environment. Increasing and restoring soil organic matter content of the degraded and depleted soils is critical to strengthening planetary processes.     

秸秆覆盖及播种方式对马铃薯耗水特性和产量的影响

为明确西北旱作雨养农业区不同秸秆带状覆盖种植模式下马铃薯耗水规律、水分利用效率及产量的变化规律,以地膜覆盖和露地种植(CK)为对照,设置4种秸秆带状覆盖模式(①种植带和覆盖带各40 cm、单行播种,②种植带和覆盖带各40cm、双行播种,③种植带和覆盖带各50cm、单行播种,④种植带和覆盖带各50 cm、双行播种),研究不同秸秆带状覆盖模式对旱地马铃薯耗水特性和产量的影响。结果表明:秸秆带状覆盖处理与CK相比,马铃薯薯块产量和水分利用效率平均分别显著提高34.0%、21.5%,分别平均较地膜覆盖显著降低31.3%、25.0%;其中40 cm覆盖种植结构产量和水分利用效率较50 cm覆盖种植结构分别明显提高4.5%和6.8%,双行播种较单行播种增产4.4%,二者水分利用效率无明显差异。秸秆带状覆盖条件下,播种—现蕾阶段的耗水量、耗水强度及耗水模系数平均较CK显著降低14.5%、15.2%、15.4%,平均较地膜覆盖显著增加20.9%、19.0%、31.5%;与CK相比,现蕾—块茎膨大阶段耗水量、耗水强度及耗水模系数无显著性差异,相比于地膜覆盖,则分别平均显著减少20.7%、22.2%、13.9%;块茎膨大—成熟阶段分别平均较CK显著提高51.7%、52.4%、50.0%。同时,相比于CK,单薯重、商品薯率分别显著提高17.3%、31.8%,单株结薯数和小薯率降低7.5%、17.6%。可见,秸秆带状覆盖栽培可通过降低现蕾前的耗水和增加块茎膨大后的耗水,一定程度上缓解马铃薯植株后期对水分的需求,延长块茎膨大后植株光合作用,提高有机物的积累量,从而提高薯块产量和水分利用效率。而秸秆带状覆盖中,单行种植以种植带∶覆盖带=40 cm︰40 cm最好,双行种植以种植带︰覆盖带=50 cm︰50 cm较适宜。     

国际30年来土壤食物网的研究历程与热点分析

利用文献计量学方法,研究1989—2018年来土壤食物网研究领域的热点内容,概括土壤食物网的研究脉络及国际土壤食物网未来的研究方向。结果显示:土壤生物多样性、食物网的碳氮循环功能及管理方式对土壤食物网结构的干扰是现在研究热点,而土壤食物网功能多样性、系统稳定性、及土壤食物网对全球变化的响应则是新兴的研究方向。     

基于灰色-BP神经网络模型的多情景交通用地需求预测——以长江中游城市群为例

为探索科学预测区域交通用地需求的合理途径,指导国土空间规划编制中交通用地规模的划定,拟通过灰色-BP神经网络模型识别主要社会经济影响因素,以长江中游城市群为例,在预测其远景交通用地需求规模的同时,基于城市群发展的阶段特征选取典型城市群样本设置3类情景,对不同情景下的交通用地需求分别进行预测。结果表明:1)城镇化水平、产业结构高度化程度和劳动力资源禀赋是当前影响长江中游城市群交通用地需求的主要社会经济因素。2)通过系统仿真试验对比不同方法的交通用地需求预测结果,可以发现基于灰色-BP神经网络模型的预测方法精度较高,误差较小,该预测方法对于区域交通用地规模的预测具有一定的适用性。预测得到的长江中游城市群2020和2030年交通用地需求分别为31.22万和49.07万hm2。3)不同情景下长江中游城市群交通用地需求预测结果存在明显差异,底线情景可作为划定交通用地规模的底限,一般情景可作为基准,极限情景可作为红线,长江中游城市群交通用地合理规模应以基准为参考,介于底线和红线之间。     

增效磷肥对花生生长、产量和磷利用率的影响

采用大田试验，在正阳县酸性砂姜黑土和清丰县石灰性砂质潮土区，研究了磷肥与不同增效剂（腐殖酸、 复合氨基酸和草酸）配施对花生生长、产量及磷肥利用率的影响。结果表明，85%常规施磷与腐殖酸、氨基酸和草 酸配施对花生产量的作用效果受土壤类型影响，砂姜黑土区，分别比85%常规施磷增产8.82%、4.66%和-1.68%，砂 质潮土区分别比85%常规施磷增产8.40%、3.18%和12.08%，砂姜黑土区和砂质潮土区分别以85%常规施磷+腐植 酸和85%常规施磷+草酸处理对花生生长和增产的促进效果最好。施磷增效剂也提高了花生磷积累量和磷肥利用 率，其原因在于磷增效剂促进了土壤难溶性磷组分转化为活性较高磷组分，与85%常规施磷相比，砂姜黑土区85% 常规施磷+腐植酸和砂质潮土区85%常规施磷+草酸处理的花生磷积累总量分别显著增加26.31%和22.89%，磷肥 表观利用率分别提高7.74%和4.99%，磷肥农学效率分别提高5.54 g/kg和5.39 g/kg。因此，酸性砂姜黑土区磷肥减 量15%配施腐殖酸，石灰性砂质潮土区磷肥减量15%配施草酸，可提高磷肥利用率，确保花生不减产，实现磷肥减 量增效目标。     

石灰岩山地4种林分空气细菌动态变化及其影响因素分析

为探索石灰岩山地不同林分类型中空气细菌的动态变化规律及其影响因素,筛选出抑菌效果较好的林分,选取徐州石灰岩山地4种典型林分为试验材料,采用自然沉降法研究林分中细菌含量的季节变化和日变化,同步监测温湿度、风速、PM2.5和空气负离子浓度,分析空气细菌含量及其之间的关系。试验结果表明:(1)细菌含量季节性变化表现为春季秋季夏季冬季,除冬季日变化呈现"早晚低,中午高"的变化趋势,其他季节表现为"早晚高,中午低";(2)不同林分类型空气细菌含量存在显著差异(P0.05),总体来看,苦楝林对细菌的抑制效果最好;(3)细菌含量与空气湿度和PM2.5呈极显著正相关关系,与空气负离子呈极显著的负相关关系。综上,苦楝林的抑菌效果最好,湿度、PM2.5和负离子是影响空气细菌含量的主要因素。本研究可为此地城市保健林的营建以及生态旅游规划提供科学依据。     

基于GIS和RUSLE的滇池流域土壤侵蚀敏感性评价及其空间格局演变

土壤侵蚀是滇池流域重要的生态问题之一,掌握滇池流域土壤侵蚀敏感性的时空变化特征有助于水土保持工作的实施和改进。以降雨量、DEM、土壤类型和Landsat影像为数据源,选择降雨、土壤、坡度坡长、植被覆盖4个因子建立土壤侵蚀敏感性评价体系,对滇池流域进行土壤侵蚀敏感性评价。结果表明:滇池流域土壤侵蚀敏感性以轻度敏感和中度敏感为主。空间分布上,轻度敏感区主要分布在滇池周边。中度敏感区主要分布在滇池流域山地区域,地形陡峭。时间变化上,1999—2014年滇池流域土壤侵蚀敏感程度呈下降趋势。轻度敏感区域面积增加20.18%,中度敏感区域面积减少20.31%,轻度敏感区的增加来源于中度敏感区的转变,转变区域分布于滇池流域西北部和东南部。在土壤侵蚀敏感性影响因子中,降雨是影响滇池流域土壤侵蚀敏感性的关键因子。研究滇池流域土壤敏感性时空变化,识别滇池流域易发生土壤侵蚀的区域,有助于该区域水土保持措施实施、生态治理和土地利用优化。     

气候变化对椰心叶甲在中国适生区的影响

为明确椰心叶甲在中国的潜在适生区,降低椰心叶甲入侵造成经济和生态损失,本研究以CLIMEX软件和椰心叶甲的生物学资料为依据,结合ArcGIS反距离加权插值分析功能,利用历史气候数据（1981—2010年）和模拟未来气候数据（2071—2100年）,分析气候变化对椰心叶甲在中国的潜在适生区的影响。结果表明：在历史气候条件下,椰心叶甲主要分布于中国的南部地区,高度适生区分布面积最大。在未来气候条件下,椰心叶甲在国内适生区总面积增加,适生区具有北移的趋势。本研究可为椰心叶甲的管理防控提供一定的理论依据。